這幾天的新聞都是財經頭條。華爾街已經連續慘跌八日,像自由落體往財務地獄快速墬落。
別提冰島破產,連GM的總值在星期四已跌到美金2.7 Billions,福特汽車公司總值則跌至美金4.7 BN。GM可能破產的謠言四傳,儘管GM再再否認。這兩大汽車工業的慘淡營運未來,讓原本事業率已高,經濟復甦機會渺小的密西根州經濟雪上加霜。
精神分裂網友提議買冰島,我看不只買冰島,看看台灣外匯存底貶值後還有多少,可以考慮來美國大肆採購大企業。這比花錢買通聯合國的小朋友、黑朋友,更容易打入國際市場,影響國際視聽。動作要快啊。美國最大債主是老共,老美還不出債來,老共順其自然坐享其成地進駐美國國、工、企、產、銷業界的機率就漸漸上升並極可能實現。唉,別說老共統一台灣了,我看老共很可能經濟統一老美。到時候,頗諷刺的是,我這個美國人恐怕比台灣人會更早成為中國人!!
油麻菜仔繞著地球飛了一圈,還是被老中收買成「落葉歸根」!!嗯,地球果然是圓的。
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有關冰島破產這則新聞,今天(10/10/2008) WSJ頭版登了較詳盡的報導,NPR的每週國際大事也提出來討論。目前蘇俄願意借錢給NATO成員國的冰島,但國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF) 卻沒行動。西方國家對蘇俄的善行以為存心不良,希望蘇俄能透過和IMF合作來救濟冰島。至今,蘇俄沒有採取此建議的趨向。
蘇俄這外匯存款第三大的國家已經對冰島出手,真是好樣的!這就是國與國間借錢控制、以大吃小的現代採購模式,請台灣政府注意,認真學習蘇俄的深謀遠慮與出手的快狠積極。台灣要是買不起小國家,或是出不了狠手買國家,那就買幾個國際大企業來投機投資,順便發揚國威。
問一下,阿扁海外存款到底是幾億美金?不是說那筆錢是準備未來當什麼鬼基金的嗎?我鼓吹,現在就可以拿出來打通國際人脈,買幾個大企業小國家,把台灣送上國際舞台。
買買買,國際財務一遍大壞中,正是台灣投資出頭的好時機啊!!
至於冰島,去年有位作家Eric Weiner寫了本"The Geography of Bliss",想找出哪裡的人最快樂?經過周遊列國後,舉冰島為第一。這個在去年被視為最快樂的國家,在這段時間裡,人民由快樂富有的銀行家,轉身重操舊業淪為曬網打漁的漁家。補破網也算本份,就是別窮極思濫,重拾老祖宗的海盜買賣,成為北海小英雄。想起來,吃吃喝喝放浪四海作無本生意,應該也算「自在快樂」,冰島還是可以算最快樂的國家吧!
本來還要寫其他的,沒時間慢慢翻譯下面那幾則相關新聞和採訪。剪貼留存。
========新聞剪貼: GM和福特財務危機===========
GM says it will not seek bankruptcy protection, despite stock price crash
• Carmaker admits it faces 'unprecedented challenges'
• Credit rating likely to sink further into junk status
- The Guardian,
- Saturday October 11 2008
General Motors insisted yesterday that bankruptcy was not an option, despite facing what it described as "unprecedented challenges".
Fears have been growing that the biggest US carmakers, GM and Ford, are close to calamity as the crisis in the financial markets has bled into the real economy.
Shares in the pair were back under pressure in early trading on Wall Street yesterday after going over the precipice on Thursday on fresh evidence of slowing car sales and a warning that the credit ratings of both companies could be cut deeper into "junk" territory, making it even harder for them to borrow money. GM shares crashed 31% on Thursday to close at $4.76, their lowest in almost 60 years. Ford's stock fell 21% the same day.
The big three carmakers in the US, including Chrysler, have been losing market share for years, but a collapse of one would shatter American self-confidence.
GM, worth $52.4bn (£30bn) at its peak in 2000, has dropped below $2.7bn in market value - less than it was worth at the beginning of the Great Depression. Ford is valued at about $4.7bn.
In a statement before the market opened, GM said: "Clearly we face unprecedented challenges related to uncertainty in financial markets globally, and weakening economic fundamentals in many key markets. But bankruptcy protection is not an option GM is considering."
Barclays Capital added to the pressure on GM yesterday when their analyst Brian Johnson cut his target on the shares to $4. GM has $21bn in the bank but is burning through $1bn a month and Johnson said the company's need for cash was increasing. Last year, GM lost $38bn.
GM sales have fallen 17.8% in the US this year and are down 1.9% in Europe. But JD Power warned on Thursday that the picture was likely to worsen along with the broader economy. "The global market in 2009 may experience an outright collapse," the firm said.
GM is working to cut $10bn in costs and raise $5bn from the sale of assets such as the Hummer brand.
Critics have suggested the companies have been authors of their own downfall. The sclerotic US motor industry was still producing gas-guzzling four-wheel drives while Asian carmakers were producing smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles in tune with the market.
The US government has promised $25bn in loans to help the industry develop more fuel-efficient cars.
In Britain, GM employs almost 5,000 workers at two plants - Ellesmere Port in Cheshire, which produced 128,000 vehicles last year, and Luton, which last year made 66,000. Ellesmere Port has been scaling back - in 2005 it made 189,000.
Ford employs about 12,500 people at sites in Dagenham, Bridgend, Southampton and Dunton in Essex.
Workers have been put on a four-day week until the end of the year. A Ford spokesman said the four-day week seemed likely to be extended into 2009.
"We have to assess the market situation but the outlook isn't looking good," the spokesman said.
guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2008
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/oct/11/generalmotors-ford/print
=============新聞剪貼: 有關冰島是世界上最快樂的國家==============
Q:
So you’ve concluded that Icelanders actually are happier?
A:
Yes. Statistically, you have a good combination of capitalistic opportunities and a social safety net. You’re halfway between the U.S. and Europe, geographically, of course, but also in other ways. Culturally. You have the American can-do attitude and entrepreneurial spirit, which a lot of European countries lack, and you have the social safety net.
Not to say that those things cancel each other out, but we certainly don’t have the same amount of social safety we used to. The extremes are growing. Someone will take a chance and succeed, and that will move them further away from the general population…
Next thing you know they’re flying in Elton John to perform at their birthday! That’s a good point, that’s why I think happiness is a fluid thing and there is such a thing as geography of happiness, it’s geography and points in time. And Iceland, maybe you’re enjoying the success of five or ten years ago. People and nations tend to be their happiest when about to achieve something great, not when they’ve already achieved it. Afterwards, you feel a bit lost; you don’t know what to do next. Right before, that’s a good place to be, and maybe you’ve already passed that curve.
http://www.grapevine.is/Home/ReadArticle/The-Joy-of-Failing-Miserably-or-Why-Icelanders-Really-Are-Happy
這段話也很有意思。是另一位作者寫的。
Highest birth rate in Europe + highest divorce rate + highest percentage of women working outside the home = the best country in the world in which to live.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/may/18/iceland
這是另一個Ranking,冰島排快樂第四。
On top of the world
* 1 Denmark
* 2 Switzerland
* 3 Austria
* 4 Iceland
* 5 Bahamas
* 6 Finland
* 7 Sweden
* 8 Bhutan
* 9 Brunei
* 10 Canada
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/denmark-is-the-worlds-happiest-country--official-410075.html
===============新聞剪貼: 蘇俄財援冰島,動機令西方國家懷疑================
Russia, IMF should cooperate on Iceland-World Bank
- Reuters
- Friday October 10 2008